restock guide · corrected analysis
There is no published Apple restock schedule.
The corrected analysis describes observed return rates in Eastern Time after adjusting for how long each bucket was monitored. It does not turn those observations into a promise.
Returns and first-seen listings are different
The June baseline records 1,110 true returns and 588 first-seen listings. The separate follow-up records 610 true returns and 45 first-seen listings.
Read the full methods and limitationsExposure-adjusted ET timing
The published follow-up has 8 hour buckets and 5 weekday buckets with sufficient monitored exposure. The highest observed hour is 3 PM ET; the highest observed weekday is Tuesday.
These are returns per monitored hour, not raw counts. The denominator is monitored exposure, preventing fully and partially observed buckets from being compared as if coverage were equal.
Still withheld: model, chip, and memory timing cuts. Alert-speed benchmark results remain separate.
Questions
What time does Apple refurbished restock?
Apple does not publish a fixed time. In RefurbSitter's follow-up, the highest published exposure-adjusted hour was 3 PM ET at 11.25 returns per monitored hour. That is a bounded observation, not a schedule.
Which day does Apple refurbished restock?
Apple does not publish a guaranteed day. The highest published follow-up weekday rate was Tuesday at 6.995 returns per monitored hour. Exposure adjustment keeps unequal monitoring coverage from distorting the comparison.
What counts as a restock?
Only an observed out-of-stock to in-stock transition is called a return to stock. A listing first encountered in stock is reported separately because its prior state is unknown.
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